No, the US did not just pass 900,000 deaths “from” Covid-19

CDC’s provisional mortality data, Table 1. Note the footnote 1 definition of “Deaths involving Covid-19.”

What is the appropriate level of causal certainty for attributing deaths to Covid-19?

I’ve had extensive dialogue with the CDC’s chief of mortality statistics about these issues. He argues, despite the definition described above for “deaths involving Covid-19,” that indeed CDC’s Covid-19 mortality figures are reasonably correct in terms of deaths being attributed to Covid-19. He points to a study put out by CDC that examined the “plausibility” of US Covid deaths figures. This study, Gundlapalli et al. 2021, which was published by CDC and not peer-reviewed, examined the very low causal bar of plausibility for attributing deaths to the virus rather than other causes. The authors conclude: “These findings support the accuracy of COVID-19 mortality surveillance in the United States using official death certificates.” In other words, their study, looking only at the plausibility of attributing these deaths to Covid-19, supported the accuracy of the CDC figures for “deaths involving Covid-19.”

Recent comments from CDC’s director strongly support these arguments

Indeed, CDC director Rachel Walensky made the same point in early 2022 but in the context of vaccine breakthrough deaths from Covid-19, examined in another CDC study from early 2022 (Yek et al. 2022). Walensky stated:

--

--

Public policy, green energy, climate change, technology, law, philosophy, biology, evolution, physics, cosmology, foreign policy, futurism, spirituality

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Tam Hunt

Tam Hunt

563 Followers

Public policy, green energy, climate change, technology, law, philosophy, biology, evolution, physics, cosmology, foreign policy, futurism, spirituality